Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq51%
Draw26%
Abha23%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.05
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Ettifaq will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
54%Possession42%
48%Territory34%
19%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Abha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.