Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 22
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq50%
Draw27%
Abha22%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.96
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession43%
41%Territory38%
30%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Abha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Ettifaq
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.