Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Neom SC
NEO
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC61%
Draw23%
Al Riyadh15%
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.84
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 2–011.5%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
55%Possession46%
40%Territory37%
17%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 3 for Al Riyadh. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.