Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Neom SC
NEO
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC60%
Draw24%
Al Riyadh16%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.83
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.5%
- 2–011.5%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
55%Possession38%
42%Territory27%
35%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.9%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 4 for Al Riyadh.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.