Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah47%
Draw26%
Al-Ettifaq27%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.19
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Ettifaq will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
45%Possession54%
38%Territory48%
36%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al-Ettifaq.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.