Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Taawoun12%
Draw20%
Al Nassr FC68%
Expected goals
0.81 – 2.09
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.2%
- 0–212.1%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.2%
- 0–38.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al-Taawoun will not mind.
42%Possession54%
37%Territory43%
40%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 3 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.