Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al Shabab
ALS
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab43%
Draw26%
Al Hazem31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
47%Territory43%
19%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.6%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.