Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al Shabab
ALS
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab68%
Draw18%
Al Hazem14%
Expected goals
2.41 – 1.06
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.2%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.
57%Possession44%
42%Territory40%
31%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al Hazem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.