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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21

Al-Faisaly

ALL

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Faisaly15%
Draw20%
Al Qadsiah66%

Expected goals

1.01 – 2.25

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 1–37.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al-Faisaly will not mind.

49%Possession61%
35%Territory52%
19%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.14
7.0%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Qadsiah.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.