Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly13%
Draw20%
Al Qadsiah66%
Expected goals
0.87 – 2.11
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.4%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–37.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al-Faisaly will not mind.
46%Possession57%
32%Territory44%
39%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.18
6.4%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 4 for Al Qadsiah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.