Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al Ittihad
ALI
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad63%
Draw21%
Al Fateh FC16%
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.00
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.2%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
53%Possession44%
47%Territory34%
9%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Ittihad, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Ittihad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.