Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21
Al Ittihad
ALI
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad73%
Draw17%
Al Fateh FC11%
Expected goals
2.49 – 0.89
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.0%
- 3–08.5%
- 3–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
56%Possession40%
47%Territory43%
9%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Ittihad, 4 for Al Fateh FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.