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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 21

Al Hilal

ALH

Al Khaleej

ALL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Hilal81%
Draw13%
Al Khaleej6%

Expected goals

2.73 – 0.69

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-2.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2012.5%
  • 3011.1%
  • 109.5%
  • 218.3%
  • 317.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Hilal will have the ball; Al Khaleej will not mind.

58%Possession49%
48%Territory48%
24%From set plays28%
0.18Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al Khaleej.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.