Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh18%
Draw20%
Al Shabab61%
Expected goals
1.19 – 2.23
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–28.3%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
46%Possession57%
37%Territory42%
14%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Riyadh, 3 for Al Shabab. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.