Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh38%
Draw28%
Al Shabab34%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.32
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Shabab will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
38%Possession49%
27%Territory47%
39%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al Shabab.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.