Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Qadsiah57%
Draw24%
Neom SC19%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.01
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.3%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
57%Possession55%
44%Territory42%
13%From set plays35%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.