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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20

Al Kholood

ALK

Al Diriyah

ALD

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Kholood41%
Draw27%
Al Diriyah32%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.25

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.1%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.6%
  • 007.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Diriyah get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession45%
43%Territory38%
20%From set plays36%
0.16Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Diriyah.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.