Skip to content

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20

Al Khaleej

ALL

Abha

ABH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Khaleej44%
Draw29%
Abha27%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.05

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 1012.5%
  • 009.9%
  • 019.1%
  • 218.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession42%
48%Territory34%
28%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Abha.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.