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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20

Al Khaleej

ALK

Abha

ABH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Khaleej53%
Draw27%
Abha20%

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.89

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.8%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej will have the ball; Abha will not mind.

52%Possession43%
41%Territory38%
34%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.1%Directness8.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Abha.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.