Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem25%
Draw25%
Al Ittihad50%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.73
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.
44%Possession53%
43%Territory47%
21%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.