Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al Hazem
ALZ
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hazem19%
Draw23%
Al Ittihad58%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.97
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.
44%Possession56%
40%Territory47%
24%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 3 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.