Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha38%
Draw30%
Al-Taawoun32%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.12
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Taawoun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession42%
33%Territory37%
17%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Al-Taawoun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.