Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha40%
Draw28%
Al-Taawoun32%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.22
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.6%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession54%
32%Territory44%
12%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Al-Taawoun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.