Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 20
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC46%
Draw27%
Al-Faisaly26%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.09
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.4%
- 0–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Faisaly get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession46%
34%Territory32%
20%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.4%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al-Faisaly.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.