Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Neom SC
NEO
Al-Faisaly
ALL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC53%
Draw27%
Al-Faisaly20%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.88
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–010.2%
- 0–09.8%
- 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession49%
40%Territory35%
17%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 5 for Al-Faisaly.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.