Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah51%
Draw25%
Al Hazem23%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.10
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Diriyah get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession44%
38%Territory43%
36%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.