Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah45%
Draw27%
Al Hazem28%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.17
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
44%Territory40%
18%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.12
7.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.