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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Al Kholood

ALO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Taawoun36%
Draw26%
Al Kholood38%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.51

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Kholood will have the ball; Al-Taawoun will not mind.

42%Possession50%
37%Territory40%
40%From set plays13%
0.12Chance quality0.18
6.6%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 3 for Al Kholood. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.