Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Shabab
ALS
Al Khaleej
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab56%
Draw23%
Al Khaleej21%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.21
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession52%
42%Territory41%
31%From set plays34%
0.15Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Shabab, 4 for Al Khaleej. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.