Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC85%
Draw10%
Al Riyadh5%
Expected goals
3.12 – 0.72
Over 2.5
73%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 3–010.9%
- 2–010.8%
- 4–08.3%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession46%
43%Territory37%
33%From set plays14%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Nassr FC, 3 for Al Riyadh. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.