Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Riyadh
ALR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC79%
Draw14%
Al Riyadh7%
Expected goals
2.56 – 0.66
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.4%
- 3–011.1%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
60%Possession38%
55%Territory27%
26%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 4 for Al Riyadh.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.