Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Ittihad
ALI
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad31%
Draw26%
Al Qadsiah43%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.66
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession57%
47%Territory44%
9%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.18
4.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Ittihad, 4 for Al Qadsiah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Ittihad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.