Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Hilal
ALH
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal80%
Draw14%
Al-Fayha6%
Expected goals
2.65 – 0.67
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.0%
- 3–011.1%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Fayha will not mind.
58%Possession48%
48%Territory32%
24%From set plays12%
0.18Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al-Fayha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.