Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Al Hilal
ALH
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal86%
Draw10%
Al-Fayha4%
Expected goals
2.88 – 0.51
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.2%
- 3–013.4%
- 1–010.1%
- 4–09.4%
- 2–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Fayha will not mind.
59%Possession48%
54%Territory33%
28%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Hilal, 4 for Al-Fayha. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hilal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.