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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19

Al-Ettifaq

ALE

Al Fateh FC

ALT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Ettifaq54%
Draw24%
Al Fateh FC22%

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.17

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Ettifaq will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.

49%Possession40%
41%Territory43%
30%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness8.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al Fateh FC.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.