Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 19
Abha
ABH
Al Ahli
ALA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha14%
Draw20%
Al Ahli67%
Expected goals
0.92 – 2.18
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.8%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–37.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ahli will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
42%Possession53%
34%Territory44%
8%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.17
7.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 5 for Al Ahli.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.