Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh34%
Draw28%
Al-Ettifaq38%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.39
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al-Ettifaq will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
38%Possession54%
27%Territory48%
39%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al-Ettifaq.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.