Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Qadsiah74%
Draw16%
Al Shabab10%
Expected goals
2.56 – 0.88
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–08.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Shabab will not mind.
57%Possession49%
44%Territory47%
13%From set plays19%
0.18Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Shabab.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.