Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al-Faisaly
ALY
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly9%
Draw17%
Al Hilal74%
Expected goals
0.75 – 2.38
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.6%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–39.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Faisaly will not mind.
46%Possession58%
32%Territory48%
39%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.18
6.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Faisaly, 5 for Al Hilal.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.