Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al-Faisaly
ALL
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Faisaly8%
Draw16%
Al Hilal76%
Expected goals
0.68 – 2.36
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–213.5%
- 0–111.9%
- 0–310.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Al-Faisaly will not mind.
49%Possession59%
35%Territory54%
19%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al-Faisaly, 3 for Al Hilal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.