Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al Kholood
ALK
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood32%
Draw27%
Al Ittihad42%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.52
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession53%
43%Territory47%
20%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Kholood
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.