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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18

Al Khaleej

ALK

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Khaleej52%
Draw26%
Al-Taawoun22%

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.98

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.7%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej will have the ball; Al-Taawoun will not mind.

52%Possession42%
41%Territory37%
34%From set plays40%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.1%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Al-Taawoun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.