Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al-Fayha
ALF
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha26%
Draw29%
Neom SC45%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.38
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.3%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession55%
32%Territory42%
12%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.