Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC10%
Draw16%
Al Nassr FC73%
Expected goals
0.89 – 2.51
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.7%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–38.6%
- 1–37.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
40%Possession54%
43%Territory43%
24%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.15
8.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 3 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.