Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC13%
Draw20%
Al Nassr FC68%
Expected goals
0.87 – 2.16
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.4%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
44%Possession60%
34%Territory55%
20%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al Nassr FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.