Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 18
Al Ahli
ALA
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ahli66%
Draw19%
Al Diriyah14%
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.00
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–18.7%
- 3–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ahli will have the ball; Al Diriyah will not mind.
53%Possession45%
44%Territory38%
14%From set plays36%
0.17Chance quality0.14
5.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Ahli, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.