Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al Shabab
ALS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah51%
Draw25%
Al Shabab24%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.13
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Diriyah get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession49%
38%Territory47%
36%From set plays19%
0.14Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al Shabab.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.