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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Al Khaleej

ALL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Qadsiah74%
Draw17%
Al Khaleej10%

Expected goals

2.41 – 0.80

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2011.9%
  • 1010.3%
  • 219.3%
  • 309.2%
  • 117.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

57%Possession49%
44%Territory48%
13%From set plays28%
0.18Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Khaleej.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.