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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Al Khaleej

ALK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Qadsiah69%
Draw18%
Al Khaleej13%

Expected goals

2.40 – 0.98

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Khaleej will not mind.

61%Possession52%
52%Territory41%
9%From set plays34%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.0%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Khaleej.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.