Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Al Hilal
ALH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Nassr FC39%
Draw27%
Al Hilal34%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.37
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession58%
55%Territory48%
26%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.18
6.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Nassr FC, 5 for Al Hilal.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.