Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al Kholood
ALO
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood53%
Draw23%
Al Hazem25%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.39
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.4%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–07.1%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession44%
40%Territory40%
13%From set plays24%
0.18Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Hazem. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hazem
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.