Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al Kholood
ALK
Al Hazem
ALZ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Kholood50%
Draw26%
Al Hazem24%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.13
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession44%
43%Territory43%
20%From set plays21%
0.16Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Kholood, 4 for Al Hazem.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Kholood
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.