Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al Ittihad
ALI
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Ittihad63%
Draw21%
Al-Taawoun16%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.03
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–09.7%
- 1–19.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession54%
47%Territory44%
9%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.8%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Ittihad, 4 for Al-Taawoun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Ittihad
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.