Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq52%
Draw25%
Al-Fayha23%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.07
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession48%
41%Territory33%
30%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al-Fayha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Ettifaq
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.