Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Al-Ettifaq
ALE
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Ettifaq47%
Draw27%
Al-Fayha26%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.10
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.3%
- 2–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession48%
48%Territory32%
19%From set plays12%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Ettifaq, 4 for Al-Fayha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.