Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Abha
ABH
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha41%
Draw29%
Al Fateh FC30%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.13
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession40%
38%Territory43%
23%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.09
8.0%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.