Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 17
Abha
ABH
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Abha37%
Draw28%
Al Fateh FC34%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.27
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–08.7%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession44%
34%Territory34%
8%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Abha, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.