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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Al-Faisaly

ALL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al-Taawoun39%
Draw29%
Al-Faisaly32%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.16

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al-Taawoun get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession49%
37%Territory35%
40%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.6%Directness7.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Taawoun, 5 for Al-Faisaly.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.