Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Shabab
ALS
Neom SC
NEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Shabab27%
Draw27%
Neom SC46%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.51
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.2%
- 1–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession55%
47%Territory42%
19%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Shabab, 4 for Neom SC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.