Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh22%
Draw25%
Al Ittihad53%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.74
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–28.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
38%Possession53%
27%Territory47%
39%From set plays9%
0.07Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Riyadh, 4 for Al Ittihad.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.