Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Riyadh
ALR
Al Ittihad
ALI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Riyadh16%
Draw20%
Al Ittihad64%
Expected goals
1.03 – 2.18
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.7%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–19.1%
- 1–37.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Ittihad will have the ball; Al Riyadh will not mind.
46%Possession56%
37%Territory47%
14%From set plays9%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Riyadh, 3 for Al Ittihad. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.