Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Khaleej
ALK
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Khaleej49%
Draw27%
Al Diriyah24%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.06
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.6%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Khaleej get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession49%
41%Territory44%
34%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.1%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.