Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Khaleej
ALL
Al Diriyah
ALD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Khaleej32%
Draw28%
Al Diriyah39%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.36
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–08.9%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession45%
48%Territory38%
28%From set plays36%
0.07Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Khaleej, 4 for Al Diriyah.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Khaleej
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.