Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Hilal
ALH
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal84%
Draw12%
Abha4%
Expected goals
2.62 – 0.46
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
34%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–016.0%
- 3–013.7%
- 1–012.4%
- 4–08.8%
- 2–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
59%Possession43%
54%Territory38%
28%From set plays23%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Al Hilal, 4 for Abha. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Hilal
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.