Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Hilal
ALH
Abha
ABH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Hilal83%
Draw12%
Abha5%
Expected goals
2.84 – 0.64
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.8%
- 3–011.7%
- 1–09.3%
- 4–08.1%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Hilal will have the ball; Abha will not mind.
58%Possession42%
48%Territory34%
24%From set plays8%
0.18Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Al Hilal, 4 for Abha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.