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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16

Al Hazem

ALZ

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Hazem13%
Draw18%
Al Qadsiah69%

Expected goals

1.02 – 2.42

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–29.5%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 1–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.

44%Possession61%
40%Territory52%
24%From set plays9%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 4 for Al Qadsiah.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.