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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16

Al Hazem

ALZ

Al Qadsiah

ALQ

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Al Hazem16%
Draw21%
Al Qadsiah63%

Expected goals

1.03 – 2.13

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1210.0%
  • 029.7%
  • 019.6%
  • 119.3%
  • 137.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Hazem will not mind.

44%Possession57%
43%Territory44%
21%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.18
5.8%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Hazem, 4 for Al Qadsiah.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.