Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha13%
Draw21%
Al Nassr FC66%
Expected goals
0.78 – 1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 0–212.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–19.7%
- 0–37.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC will have the ball; Al-Fayha will not mind.
48%Possession60%
32%Territory55%
12%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 4 for Al Nassr FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.