Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al-Fayha
ALF
Al Nassr FC
ALN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al-Fayha11%
Draw18%
Al Nassr FC71%
Expected goals
0.82 – 2.26
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.9%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–38.6%
- 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Nassr FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession54%
33%Territory43%
17%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.1%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al-Fayha, 3 for Al Nassr FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.