Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Kholood
ALK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC34%
Draw27%
Al Kholood39%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.43
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession51%
34%Territory43%
20%From set plays20%
0.09Chance quality0.16
7.4%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 4 for Al Kholood.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.