Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 16
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Al Kholood
ALO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Fateh FC34%
Draw24%
Al Kholood42%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.81
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Kholood will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
40%Possession50%
43%Territory40%
24%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.18
8.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Fateh FC, 3 for Al Kholood. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.