Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Neom SC
NEO
Al-Taawoun
ALW
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Neom SC58%
Draw24%
Al-Taawoun18%
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.95
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Neom SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession54%
42%Territory44%
35%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.9%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 4 for Al-Taawoun.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al-Taawoun
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.