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Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15

Neom SC

NEO

Al-Taawoun

ALW

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Neom SC53%
Draw28%
Al-Taawoun19%

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.78

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.0%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–011.6%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 2–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Neom SC will have the ball; Al-Taawoun will not mind.

55%Possession42%
40%Territory37%
17%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.12
6.4%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Neom SC, 4 for Al-Taawoun.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.