Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al Diriyah
ALD
Al-Fayha
ALF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Diriyah51%
Draw27%
Al-Fayha23%
Expected goals
1.57 – 0.99
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Diriyah get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession48%
38%Territory32%
36%From set plays12%
0.14Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Diriyah, 4 for Al-Fayha.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.