Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Qadsiah75%
Draw16%
Al Fateh FC9%
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.86
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 3–09.0%
- 1–08.8%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
57%Possession44%
44%Territory34%
13%From set plays20%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 63 matches, not the full season.