Saudi Pro League · Matchweek 15
Al Qadsiah
ALQ
Al Fateh FC
ALT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Al Qadsiah82%
Draw12%
Al Fateh FC6%
Expected goals
3.06 – 0.84
Over 2.5
74%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.9%
- 3–09.8%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 4–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Al Qadsiah will have the ball; Al Fateh FC will not mind.
61%Possession40%
52%Territory43%
9%From set plays24%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.0%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Al Qadsiah, 4 for Al Fateh FC.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Al Qadsiah
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 104 matches, not the full season.